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Alessandro Blasi Alessandro Blasi is an Influencer

Special Advisor to the IEA Executive Director | LinkedIn Top Voice | 90.000+

Worldwide car 🚗 sales ➡️ Where we are with electric ⚡️ revolution? A new IEA piece (on IEA website) unveils some interesting elements. What strikes me is the car sales trend that suggests some thoughts 1️⃣ the vast majority of car sales remains covered by conventional cars (so fueled by fossil fuels) 2️⃣ the share of SUVs has grown over the last few years and SUVs typically consume quite more #energy and #emissions 3️⃣the very thin green and lighter line represents the contribution of #electricvehicles on total sales ...and here the issue is how thin that line it still is! The good #news tough is that such thin line is keeping growing: EVs proved an extraordinary resilience in a year of crisis with very strong growth 📈 in sales, on the contrary of the traditional market strongly hit by the #covid19 Now, the point here is the typical question of the glass half empty or half full. The skeptics on EV #future highlights a market exceeding 1 billion vehicles in which EVs are still less than 1%. Those more optimistic stress huge #investment in ⚡️#greentech and chargers by car manufacturers and the conviction that we are at turning point. That the future of #mobility is electric seems certain. To remain in the field, it is crucial push accelerator now! #economy #cars

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Alessandro, what do you think about CNG as a transition fuel for transport? Putting the CNG installation on the existing vehicles can save a lot of CO2 and lives as well (considering a significant reduction in air pollution). And it can be done very fast (of course where the necessary infrastructure exists.

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Peter Woodroof

Director Exploration & Development, Prima Energi

3y

To add to Serge's comment, to fully understand new car sales, we need to have the figures for the total number of cars actually in use. Perhaps many cars are being kept for longer? For example during the initial massive growth of car sales in China in the 1990's and 2000's; car sales were nearly all of new cars, and almost all these new cars were being added to the total numbers on the road with few second hand or retired. That is likely not the case now, as a much higher proportion of Chinese car sales now will be second hand. The same may be true of many other countries.

Romain Lardet

B2B Global Product Director @Vögtlin Instruments GmbH / TASI Group / Developing, Delivering and Supporting Competitive Products & Solutions for MFM/MFC - opinions expressed are my own

3y

We should probably not forget that a lot of skeptics are skeptics because they know that electricity is not carbon free in most of the world like China, USA, Germany, Japan, India, UK, Italy,... etc. They also know that batteries require lots of metals, lots of water, lots of oil and other resources to be mined, refined and produced and are currently produced in countries with low environmental standards. They also know that a 2.5 tons SUV with a 700kg Battery, or that a 2 tons EV with 3sec from 0 to 60 miles an hour have nothing to do with a solution to climate change. They are convinced though that a small EV with a small battery produced in a country with high environment standards and decarbonated electricity is one of the right ways to bring CO2 and pollution down.

Valentin Kokorin

Healthcare Energy/IAQ | IMechE YMB

3y

Beyond my initial reaction of mocking choice of SUV for city use, I think the real test will be over next 10 years as "self-driving" features will become more viable, as well as model of car ownership changing due to giving more flexibility. That would apply only in dense urban locations though.

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Adriano Titta

Student at Polytechnic of Turin - Automotive Engineering (Propulsion System Development) Former FSAE Member Petrolhead

3y

1% of 1 Billion is 10 million, which is a huge accomplishment and growth for something that was produced in the realm of hundred thousands 10 years ago.

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Thanks Ale (Alessandro). Very interesting. Can you share a link to the full report? Thxs

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Serge Jean

Leader in CCUS Studies & delivering new ways to collaborate!

3y

Thanks for posting. The curious thing from the chart is has vehicle sales peaked in 2017? Has Grab and Uber changed the game on private car ownership? Has the pandemic and a work from home culture stalled overall private vehicle sales? I know a few families here in SE Asia which have decided to not own a car, or are not replacing their old one. EV sales growth into a potentialy shrinking overall market, it will be an interesting few years.

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Marine Cornelis

Executive Director @ Next Energy Consumer | Energ’ Ethic Podcast Host | Policy & Thought Leadership Consultant, Public Speaker, Energy Justice Advocate | EU Climate Pact Ambassador

3y

Giulio Mattioli I assume you’re familiar with these data?

Whilst everyone is focused on the ev line - could you opine on the huge inflection in 2017-18 as ICE car sales peaked and started a huge decline? A saturated global market or something else?

Gianluca Fossat

Founder & CEO | Go-on Group Business Development | MC, GER, USA, UK, KSA | Sales, M&A

3y

The big challenge is about HOW and WHERE we can charge our elecrric cars.. in Germany already before you buy a Tesla you must ask the municipallity if you can build your fast charger or not. In Montecarlo (with very green policies) there are still ONLY 4 fast charging stations. Difficiult to imagine a fast charging parking lot with 50 cars plugged in. How many cars we can charge? The grid is the challenge now and not the production of the car. The use of electric car id for now dedicated to people not really needing a car amd driving few km a year. Same target of car sharing programs. How many fast charging station are now active? And how many electric car do we have and we plan to have?

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